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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.3 plays per game.

With an extraordinary 55.8% Route% (85th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

D'Andre Swift's 63.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a remarkable decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 83.0% rate.

The Rams defense has given up the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 22.0) versus running backs since the start of last season.

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