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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
  • The model projects D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • D'Andre Swift has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 11.3% this year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to air yards, D'Andre Swift ranks in the paltry 19th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.
  • The Packers pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) vs. running backs this year (80.1%).
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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