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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

With a sizeable 47.1% Route Participation Rate (84th percentile) last year, D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in football.

The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to earn 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

D'Andre Swift has notched a whopping 1.0 air yards per game last year: 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the leading pass-catching RBs last year, averaging an impressive 17.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Last year, the formidable Titans defense has allowed a feeble 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 10th-fewest in football.

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