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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to total 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
  • When it comes to air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the towering 76th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a massive 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • D'Andre Swift slots into the 90th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 18.9 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • D'Andre Swift has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (29.0).
  • D'Andre Swift's 4.5 adjusted yards per target this year shows a material decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 6.5 mark.

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