D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect D'Andre Swift to accumulate 4.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
D'Andre Swift has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.0% this year, which puts him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
D'Andre Swift's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 75.9% to 89.2%.
D'Andre Swift's 9.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a material gain in his efficiency in space over last season's 7.0% rate.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
D'Andre Swift has compiled a feeble -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to RBs.
D'Andre Swift's 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents an impressive decline in his receiving skills over last year's 29.0 rate.

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