D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 15, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Eagles have been the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 68.8% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
D'Andre Swift has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among RBs, completing just 75.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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