D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:56 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
D'Andre Swift's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this year, compiling 10.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 7.73 rate last year.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to be a much smaller part of his team's passing attack this week (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
D'Andre Swift has compiled a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 16th percentile among RBs.

More D'Andre Swift Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow