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D'Andre Swift
NFL · Player Props
D'Andre Swift
RB · Detroit Lions
Receiving Yards
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:56 PM EST
NFL Props D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • D'Andre Swift's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this year, compiling 10.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 7.73 rate last year.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to be a much smaller part of his team's passing attack this week (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
  • D'Andre Swift has compiled a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 16th percentile among RBs.
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