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D'Andre Swift
NFL · Player Props
D'Andre Swift
RB · Detroit Lions
Receiving Yards
Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM EST
NFL Props D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +107.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to accrue 4.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • D'Andre Swift's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this year, accumulating 9.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 7.73 mark last year.
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • D'Andre Swift's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 27.5.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • D'Andre Swift has accrued significantly fewer receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).
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