D'Andre Swift Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 40.7% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Bears.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 135.0 plays on offense called: the most on the slate this week.
The Bears have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 67.2 plays per game.
In this game, D'Andre Swift is predicted by the projections to slot into the 81st percentile among running backs with 15.3 carries.
D'Andre Swift has garnered 43.0% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.