D'Andre Swift Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 11:01 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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