D'Andre Swift Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 46.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to accrue 15.3 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
After accounting for 25.3% of his offense's carries last season, D'Andre Swift has been more involved in the ground game this season, now comprising 49.2%.

Favors Under

The Bills linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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