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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.

The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

D'Andre Swift has been a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (25.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.3%).

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

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