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Damien Harris

Damien Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

Damien Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.

With a remarkable tally of 4.90 adjusted yards per carry (80th percentile), Damien Harris ranks as one of the leading running backs in the NFL this year.

Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (160 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the least run-oriented offense in the league (31.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.

The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Damien Harris has been a less important option in his team's ground game this season (12.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (40.9%).

The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.

Damien Harris has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

More Damien Harris Player Props

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