Damien Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Damien Harris

NFL · Player Props

Damien Harris

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Damien Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
With a remarkable tally of 4.90 adjusted yards per carry (80th percentile), Damien Harris ranks as one of the leading running backs in the NFL this year.
Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (160 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the least run-oriented offense in the league (31.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Damien Harris has been a less important option in his team's ground game this season (12.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (40.9%).
The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
Damien Harris has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

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