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Damien Harris
NFL · Player Props
Damien Harris
RB · New England Patriots
Rushing Yards
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears · Week 7, 2022 Updated Oct 24, 2022 11:41 PM UTC
NFL Props Damien Harris Rushing Yards

Damien Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -137.

Favors Over
  • The Patriots are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Damien Harris to notch 11.5 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
  • Damien Harris has received 47.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Damien Harris has generated 50.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football among RBs (75th percentile).
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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