Damien Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Damien Harris

NFL · Player Props

Damien Harris

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Damien Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Damien Harris to accumulate 11.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
Damien Harris has been given 53.3% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
The New England Patriots O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Damien Harris has generated 59.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (90th percentile).
Damien Harris has been more successful in grinding out extra running yardage this season, averaging 3.75 yards-after-contact vs a 2.75 mark last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
Opposing squads have run for the least yards in the NFL (just 83 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-best collection of DEs in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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