Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 62.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to garner 17.4 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 82.5% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has picked up 71.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (93rd percentile).
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Texans are an enormous 17.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 30.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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