Dameon Pierce Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing TD

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-215).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dameon Pierce has earned 92.9% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has run for 0.30 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in football among RBs (75th percentile).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most TDs in the NFL (1.10 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Miami Dolphins defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Texans have been the 10th-least run-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 39.2% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.4 plays per game.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.

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