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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+214/-326).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +229 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +214.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans have been the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 46.7% red zone run rate.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 59.1 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-least touchdowns in the league (0.59 per game) versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season.

More Dameon Pierce Player Props

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