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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Dameon Pierce Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+214/-326).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +229 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +214.
  • The Texans have been the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 46.7% red zone run rate.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 59.1 plays per game.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-least touchdowns in the league (0.59 per game) versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season.

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