Dameon Pierce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Receptions

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
Dameon Pierce has been much less involved in his team's offense this year, playing on just 48.4% of snaps compared to 63.1% last year.

Favors Under

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Texans.
Dameon Pierce's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 82.5% to 71.2%.
This year, the stout Saints defense has allowed a mere 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.
The Saints linebackers project as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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