Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-102).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
Dameon Pierce has earned 78.2% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 30th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Houston Texans have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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