Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

New York Giants vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to total 21.9 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 83.9% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to run defense.
The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.1 plays per game.
The Houston Texans have gone for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

More Dameon Pierce Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow