Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to garner 13.6 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 59.1 plays per game.

More Dameon Pierce Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow