Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a mere 27.04 seconds per snap, the Jets offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
The Houston Texans defensive tackles profile as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The New York Jets may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Zach Wilson.
The New York Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
A passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.
After making up 69.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Dalvin Cook has been called on less the ground game this year, now sitting at only 24.5%.
As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the worst in the league last year.

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