Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.75 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 16.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has garnered 76.4% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most yards in the league (144 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Vikings are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has run for many fewer yards per game (73.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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