Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to total 16.7 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has garnered 74.1% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 34.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has run for quite a few less yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
Opposing squads have run for the 5th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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