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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to total 16.7 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • Dalvin Cook has garnered 74.1% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 34.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Dalvin Cook has run for quite a few less yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
  • Opposing squads have run for the 5th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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