Dalvin Cook Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-100/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-most run-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 43.9% red zone run rate.
Dalvin Cook has been given 70.3% of his team's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for 0.43 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (88th percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most touchdowns in the NFL (1.17 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles grade out as the worst DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.