Dalvin Cook Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing TD

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+109/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has been given 68.8% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Dalvin Cook has run for 0.62 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in football among RBs (93rd percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the 6th-most TDs in the league (1.15 per game) versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-least run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 39.5% red zone run rate.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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