Dalvin Cook Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing TD

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+108/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has earned 66.7% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has run for 0.58 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (90th percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the most TDs in football (1.42 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense this year.
The Detroit Lions defensive tackles grade out as the 9th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 40.1% red zone run rate.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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