Dalvin Cook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +131 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
Dalvin Cook's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 78.6% to 84.6%.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (83%) versus RBs this year (83.0%).

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Dalvin Cook's 8.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 14.4.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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