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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Vikings are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.75 seconds per play.

Dalvin Cook has run a route on 55.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Dalvin Cook has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a measly 76.8% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (78.3%) vs. running backs this year (78.3%).

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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