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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Dalvin Cook has run a route on 50.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-least in football.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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