Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Tim Boyle.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Jets being a huge -9.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has not been good when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 9.67 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.4 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
Dalvin Cook has been used less as a potential target this season (14.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (53.0%).
Dalvin Cook has notched a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among RBs.

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