Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.0 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.0 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Dalvin Cook's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 78.6% to 85.4%.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Dalvin Cook has totaled a mere -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 3rd percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook's 8.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 14.4.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

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