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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accrue 15.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box against opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to be much less involved in his team's run game this week (64.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (78.4% in games he has played).

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

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