Dalton Schultz Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Touchdowns

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 6, 2026 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-323).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Texans to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With a sizeable 13.9% Red Zone Target% (80th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz ranks as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
When it comes to air yards, Dalton Schultz grades out in the towering 96th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a superb 43.0 per game.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Texans being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
The Houston Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game stats across the board.
With a lousy rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Dalton Schultz has been among the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to tight ends this year.
This year, the imposing Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 0.14 TDs through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 4th-best rate in the NFL.

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