Dalton Schultz Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+257/-264).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Texans.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 132.4 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Dalton Schultz has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 16.1% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.
After totaling 40.0 air yards per game last year, Dalton Schultz has gotten better this year, now sitting at 47.0 per game.
Favors Under
With a 10-point advantage, the Texans are a huge favorite in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
With a dreadful ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Dalton Schultz stands as one of the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to tight ends this year.
The New York Giants defense has surrendered the 10th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to tight ends: 0.33 per game this year.