Dalton Schultz Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 6, 2026 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-122/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.6% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The model projects Dalton Schultz to accumulate 6.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
With an excellent 4.7 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz has been as one of the top tight ends in the pass game in football.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Texans being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Dalton Schultz has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (65.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.8%).
The Houston Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game stats across the board.

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