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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Dalton Schultz has run a route on 80.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to accrue 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • Dalton Schultz has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Dalton Schultz has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, completing just 63.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile.

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