Dalton Schultz Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to garner 5.6 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has afforded their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Dalton Schultz's receiving skills have tailed off this season, totaling just 3.4 yards per game compared to 4.7 last season.
Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.9% to 64.2%.
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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