Dalton Schultz Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to notch 7.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
Dalton Schultz has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 18.8% this year, which places him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.8% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Dalton Schultz's receiving skills have declined this season, compiling a mere 3.4 yards per game compared to 4.7 last season.
Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.9% to 63.6%.

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