Dalton Schultz Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 139.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to total 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
Dalton Schultz's 41.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 34.2.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a massive 17.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz's receiving talent has tailed off this year, notching just 3.6 yards per game compared to 4.7 last year.
Dalton Schultz's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.9% to 66.2%.

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