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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to total 6.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • Dalton Schultz has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 18.2% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Completion% in football (79%) vs. tight ends this year (79.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
  • Dalton Schultz's play as a receiver has declined this year, totaling a mere 3.6 yards per game vs 4.7 last year.
  • Dalton Schultz's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 77.9% to 73.8%.

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