Dalton Schultz Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 75.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to earn 6.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Dalton Schultz has been among the best pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 3.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
Dalton Schultz's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 71.4%.
The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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