Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 6, 2026 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -205 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.6% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The model projects Dalton Schultz to accumulate 6.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
When it comes to air yards, Dalton Schultz grades out in the towering 96th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a superb 43.0 per game.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Texans being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Dalton Schultz has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (65.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.8%).
The Houston Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game stats across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 43.0) versus TEs this year.

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