Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+103/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 78.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to earn 5.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
The Detroit Lions defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the league (63.0) vs. TEs this year.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 55.5% pass rate.
Dalton Schultz has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (41.0 per game).
Dalton Schultz has posted quite a few less receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Dalton Schultz's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 76.3% to 53.0%.

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