Dalton Schultz Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+309/-558).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -547 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -558.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 84th percentile for tight ends.
The Detroit Lions defense has conceded the 8th-most passing touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.60 per game this year.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to be a less important option in his team's air attack near the goal line this week (15.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (25.0% in games he has played).
Dalton Schultz has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (41.0 per game).
Dalton Schultz's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 76.3% to 53.0%.
Dalton Schultz grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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