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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+249/-405).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -382 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -405.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dalton Schultz has put up a monstrous 41.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
  • Dalton Schultz's 38.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 91st percentile for TEs.
  • Dalton Schultz ranks in the 86th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.30 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack near the end zone this week (22.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (30.0% in games he has played).
  • Dalton Schultz's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.9% to 68.1%.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (68.8%) vs. tight ends this year (68.8%).

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