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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+213/-329).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +252 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +213.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dalton Schultz has compiled a whopping 37.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • Dalton Schultz's 38.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 89th percentile for TEs.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (77%) versus TEs this year (77.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (21.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (30.8% in games he has played).
  • Dalton Schultz's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 71.4%.
  • The New York Giants defense has allowed the 8th-least passing TDs in football to tight ends: 0.20 per game this year.

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