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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+169/-241).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +179 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +169.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (18.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.4% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Dallas Cowboys have incorporated play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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