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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the model to rank in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets.

Dalton Kincaid's 41.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 35.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Bills as the 6th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

The Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.2 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Dalton Kincaid's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a substantial decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.6 figure.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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